Viewpoints from Manulife Investment Management
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Inflation, interest rates, and recession risk: farmland’s resilience in the face of uncertainty
Farmland investment performance has shown historical resilience in periods of economic disruption—how will it fare as risks of a near-term recession rise?
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Goodbye, negative-yielding debt: Three-minute macro
The era of negative-yielding debt is over, but we’re more focused on how debt issuance and rising rates will increase government debt burdens (and what that means for investors). Our eyes are also on Europe, where we’re cautiously optimistic in the short term. Finally, we’ve got some good news for bond investors.
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2023 Q1 Global Macro Outlook—The Year Ahead
We expect 2023 to be a year of two halves: H1 could be defined by a material slowdown in growth as the effects of aggressive monetary tightening kick in, while H2 could see an easing in macroeconomic conditions. Read our economic growth forecast for 2023.
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The tailwinds of change: Three-minute macro
Inflation is showing signs of moderating, and if history is any indication, that could be a tailwind for equities. We’ve also got eyes on the timeline for a reopening in China, and on Americans’ excess savings, which aren’t excess for everyone.
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Asset allocation update: Foresight November 2022
Our multi-asset solutions team examines how recent developments have shaped expected returns across different asset classes.
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Don't be so negative: Three-minute macro
Earnings estimates have started to decline, but some sectors are doing far better than others. We also take a look at European trade dependence and how different commodities might perform in a slowing economy.
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What does a strong dollar mean for global growth?
As the world's dominant reserve currency, movements in the U.S. dollar can have important implications for the world economy. Our experts identify three channels through which dollar strength can shape growth. Learn more.
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Real assets: don’t let current conditions undermine your long-term success
Making asset allocation changes during a market downturn isn’t necessarily an easy feat. When it comes to allocating to private real assets, we believe there are three main reasons why investors shouldn’t wait: diversification, capital protection, and what we call unsung tailwinds.
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Food scarcity, energy insecurity: assessing sovereign ESG risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict
The central crisis of 2022 may not be found in inflation or interest rates, but in the conflict in Ukraine. We explore the commodity market impact and how this may up the ante on geopolitical and sovereign risks.
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Short-term lessons for long-term success: four common pitfalls in volatile markets
Unwary investors can easily let their emotions get the better of them when the going gets tough. We outline four of the most common pitfalls investors can fall into when navigating market volatility, along with suggestions on how to avoid doing the same.
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