Viewpoints about Global
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Time to deliver: Three-minute macro
Delivery times for products are improving, which should help ease inflation pressures. But a hawkish Bank of Canada has us keeping an eye on the housing market, while we think the European equity market is underpricing risk there.
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Under pressure: Three-minute macro
This month, we note that the equity risk premium isn’t indicating a growth slowdown in the near future (despite our views to the contrary), while also cautioning that fewer people may be heading back to the office than we suspect many are hoping for. Finally, we look at how the Federal Reserves aggressive policy trajectory might affect Asia.
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Show them the money: Three-minute macro
Corporate profits are surging, but workers aren’t really sharing in this profit boom—and that’s made even worse by rising prices. Our eyes are also on inventory levels that are building, and which could be a danger in the wake of rising interest rates.
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Incorporating the Russia-Ukraine conflict in a global macro outlook
For the global economy, the Russia-Ukraine conflict and its repercussions amount to a stagflationary shock. We assess the situation's impact on our medium-term macro outlook.
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Ukraine-Russia conflict—what investors should know
Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered a military attack on Ukraine, creating volatility in world markets. This conflict is affecting oil prices, stocks, and bonds. How should investors react to the escalation of tension in Eastern Europe?
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Timing is everything: Three-minute macro
In the coming months, we expect the market to put emphasize the timing of economic inflection points. We also detail our cautiously optimistic view on REITs and highlight that differing COVID-19 vaccination rates are making country picking in emerging markets even more crucial in this month's edition of Three-minute macro.
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Global Macro Outlook—an uneven recovery begins
The worst of the economic impact arising from the pandemic seems to be over. Our macroeconomic strategy team examines the issues that could shape the recovery.
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Foresight April 2020: Key macro themes and market outlook
The COVID-19 outbreak has reshaped the economic landscape. Find out how recent events have changed our asset allocation team's views on different asset classes.
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