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Service, please! Three-minute macro
Inflation continues to be stubborn, but now we’re focused more on the services component, which is causing the bulk of the pain. Meanwhile, with volatility pretty much everywhere, investors find themselves without many assets to turn to because of rising asset class correlations. Finally, we take a look at the potential of the Brazilian equity market, which looks cheap.
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Q4 2022 Global Macro Outlook
Rising inflation, enduring supply chain disruptions, and rising uncertainty—hardly a strong start to 2022; however, our macroeconomic strategy team believes that global growth prospects will become brighter as the year progresses.
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The high-yield market isn't signaling a recession
Through the interest-rate volatility and higher inflation so far in 2022, we haven't seen a reason to abandon high yield. If anything, the higher-quality segment of this market could provide a welcome boost to a portfolio's risk-adjusted return potential.
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Trigger rates: an upcoming risk to the Canadian housing market
Rising interest rates are putting a damper on the Canadian housing market as mortgages become more expensive for potential buyers. But there's more to watch: Trigger rates in variable rate mortgages may add to housing woes. Might this be a cause for concern in the Canadian economy?
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U.S. banks’ fundamentals continue to strengthen despite the economic slowdown
The latest quarterly earnings reports from U.S. regional banks confirm the favorable investment outlook as loan growth and an improved interest-rate environment provide a tailwind for the industry.
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The Fed remains hawkish, but easing could occur in 2023
The U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to hike rates by 0.75% shouldn't surprise anyone—it was widely expected; however, the bank's latest economic projections caught markets off guard. Read more.
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Das economy: Three-minute macro
With a full-blown energy crisis, the outlook for Europe’s largest economy is dire, with many headwinds to face. Meanwhile, investors might not know it, but ESG factors are having major impacts on the global economy.
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Time to deliver: Three-minute macro
Delivery times for products are improving, which should help ease inflation pressures. But a hawkish Bank of Canada has us keeping an eye on the housing market, while we think the European equity market is underpricing risk there.
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What are private markets?
Private markets allow buyers and sellers to trade assets through direct negotiation rather than through an intermediary, such as a public securities exchange.
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Can investing in Canadian commercial real estate help smooth volatility in your portfolio?
In this article, we look at the potential benefits the asset class can offer investors in today’s inflationary environment.
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